Tuesday Slate + My Bad!!

Hey gang!

Sorry for forgetting the ST play! I know y'all already know this but the weekend had me frazzle - working to get back into a rhythm, even if teams don't want to help (Vizela). -1u. Glad we hit our Patreon Malmo parlay!

And as always homies, if you're not happy here I'll never be upset if you leave or take a break! I know it hasn't been the best start to the year but I'm still going to grind up and down and all around baby!

Here's what I'm on tomorrow! I did articles so including those!

6 plays in total from me over 3 matches! 

4/16 Slate:

PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN at BARCELONA | 4/16 | 3 p.m. ET

• Score Prediction. 2-2 draw. Barca through on aggregate

Picks

• Barcelona Over 1.5 goals  -125 (1 unit)

• PSG Over 1.5 goals  +105 (1 unit)

• Kylian Mbappe anytime goal scorer +100 (1 unit)

We saw fireworks in the first leg of this quarterfinal tie as Barcelona currently lead 3-2 in aggregate scoring. Traveling to Parc des Princes and leaving with a goal advantage is massive for the La Liga side. 

PSG frankly needed to do better at home. This was a matchup in which they were favored and were expected to be leading after the first leg. Now, they have to travel to Spain and try to recover a goal against a Barcelona side that will be ready for this brutal second leg.

The first leg was bizarre in the sense that we saw five goals, and none of them came from PSG's Kylian Mbappe or Barcelona's Robert Lewandowski. Both sides showed that while they struggle defensively, they are able to lock down the other's star offensive player.

Barcelona's backline rendered Mbappe mostly useless in the first leg, and PSG's did the same to Lewandowski. This forced the remaining players on either side to step up in order to find goals. While this led to a high-scoring and entertaining affair, I expect the stars on both sides to play a bigger role on Tuesday.

PSG cannot overcome this goal deficit without a significant performance from Mbappe. Ligue 1's leading goal-scorer and all-around world-class talent needs to show up in a big way on the road in order for the club to bounce back.

While I'm not expecting to see quite as many goals in this match as there were in the first leg, I'm still expecting an entertaining match with goals coming from both sides. As much as Barcelona would like to park the bus and protect their one-goal lead, they most likely will only be able to stop the rampaging PSG side for so long. This is a game in which I'm expecting a slow first 20 minutes, followed by an explosive final 70.

Dortmund v Atletico Madrid. 3pm ET. UCL

• Score Prediction. 2-1 Dortmund (No idea who wins in extra time)

Dortmund over 1.5 TT. -110. 1u

Dortmund over .5 TT 1h. -115. 1u

• Thoughts:

  • I like BTTS + Over classic here too. Frankly, both these teams are absolute monsters at home and nowhere near as good on the road. Dortmund is probably stoked right now to be down 2-1 knowing this second leg is in front of the Yellow Wall. Dortmund is going to say F it and go for it. I think all the second legs are going to be great, but I have a sneaking feeling Dortmund could pull off something amazing.

Familicao v Sporting. BTTS. +110. 3:15pm ET. Portugal Primeria. Liga

• Score Prediction 3-1 Sporting.

Sporting are still in a title race against Benfica so they cannot slow down, and to be honest they probably win this one pretty easily. With that being said Familicao is weirdly kinda decent. 8th on the table and managed to put 2 past Porto, 2 against Gil Vicente, and 1 against Braga and Boavista in the last few months. Again, I do not think they win, but plus odds for a good team at home, and knowing they'll probably go down early, makes me like this! I have sporting up 2-0 at halftime and Familicao pulling one back late!