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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 23-24 FEB 2024 23:59* PST - Two Years of Full-Scale War

Added 2024-02-24 17:39:33 +0000 UTC

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SITREP 609 is 132 pages long, a full report with a special section - two years of war.

What's Happening

What's the big story? A recap of events large and small from the last two years. We updated the table of losses to capture two years of data and have a summary of Russian officer losses. There is a lot of assessment in today's report.

What's the secondary story? Another Russian A-50U was shot down, and we know a lot more about the incident and the aircraft.

What's the bonus story? We try to make sense of the Polish border dispute with Ukraine. It's two parts hybrid warfare, one part disinformation, one part legitimate issues, and 100 percent a mess.

What's the bonus-bonus story? The whispers about a potential nuclear arms race in Europe if the United States abandons Ukraine are now being said aloud.

Summary

Two Years of War
There are minor map updates
There are assessment updates
There are rumor updates
The table of Ukraine versus Russia equipment losses using information from the Oryx Database was updated on February 23, 2024
Fighting continued in the Kupyansk AO
Russia struck a farm in the village of Mokra Rokytna with 5 Shahed-136 one-way drones, killing livestock
Fighting continued in the Kreminna AO
Fighting continued in Soledar AO – where a legend was born
Fighting continued in the Bakhmut AO
Fighting continued in the Klishchiivka AO
Russia bombed an agricultural company near Kramatorsk for the third time since 2022, destroying 400,000 metric tons of grain and seed stock
Fighting continued in the Avdiivka AO
United States-provided M1A1 Abrams MBTs are operating on the frontlines near Stepove
Heavy fighting continued east of the Avdiivka Coke Plant
Ukrainian drones are interdicting Russian supplies and logistics in occupied Avdiivka
A Russian missile struck Myrnohrad, killing a pensioner and destroying dozens of homes
The most intense fighting occurred in the Marinka and Vuhledar AOs
In the Marinka AO, Russia bombed Krasnohorivka with ODAB-1500 kilogram thermobaric bombs
Fighting continues in the village of Pobieda
Ukrainian forces made marginal gains south of Novomykhailivka
Light fighting continued in the Orikhiv AO
The IAEA released an update on the status of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant
Fighting continued in the Kherson AO
In Krynky, Ukrainian forces replaced the flag on the water tower
Also, in Krynky, a Russian attempt to add their flag failed
Russia attacked Odesa with Shahed-136 one-way drones, killing one and severely wounding three
Russian A-50U AWACS, Red 42, was shot down by Ukraine near Trudovaya Armeniya in the Krasnodar Krai region of Russia
Ukrainian drones struck the Novolypetsk Metallurgical Plant in Lipetsk, Russia
Special Section: Will Russia annex the Moldovian breakaway Republic of Transnistria
Special Section: Polish border protests, who is behind and why is it happening
On February 23-24, Ukrainian air defenses shot down 12 of 12 Shahed-136 one-way drones and two Kh-59 guided missiles
The Kyiv Scientific Research Institute of Forensic Expertise believes Russia and Iran can produce 400 to 500 Shaheds a month
Ukraine and Denmark signed a security agreement that will provide 8.5 billion euros in aid through 2028
The Czech Defence Ministry has raised $500 million of the $2 billion needed to purchase 800,000 artillery rounds for Ukraine
The Czech company Česká Zbrojovka has licensed Ukroboronprom to produce CZ BREN 2 assault rifles
Spain will provide a new military aid package to Ukraine that will include ammunition
A delegation of U.S. Senators led by majority leader Chuck Schumer met with President Zelenskyy, Minister of Defense Umerov, and CiC Syrskyi
U.S. President Biden called for the House to approve the supplemental spending bill “before it’s too late”
During a speech, the Minister of Foreign Affairs for Lithuania, Gabrielius Landsbergis, told the E.U. Council to “wake up”
Since February 24, 2022, Russia has lost over 14,500 pieces of heavy military equipment
In the last two years, Russia has lost more than 3,600 officers
Russian President Putin claimed that 95% of Russia’s nuclear weapons have been updated
Putin also claimed the Zircon hypersonic cruise missile (that doesn’t work) has entered “serial production”
Russian milbloggers complain that wounded Russian troops aren’t receiving medical care
The massive losses in Russia’s officer corps have degraded the command structure, resulting in violence among servicemembers
India has formally requested Russia to release their citizens from military contracts and advised their nationals not to enlist in the Russian Federation Armed Forces
Russia is allegedly buying critical parts for tanks from Taiwan and Japan using a shell company based in Belarus
Russia is using $14 household fans from France to build glide bombs
An analysis by Conflict Armament Research found that hundreds of parts in North Korean Kn-23 SRBMs come from the United States and Europe
Armenia withdrew from the CSTO Alliance
Russia rejected calls for an independent investigation into the death of Alexei Navalny
The Investigative Committee for the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug of Russia is refusing to hand over Navalny’s body to his mother
Assessment: Russia wants Navalny’s body buried privately in an unmarked grave – why
Russia has blocked the websites of Radio Liberty from five neighboring nations
The illegitimate governor of occupied Zaporizhzhia, Yevhen Balytskyi, admitted to committing war crimes
Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of Russia, Dmitry Medvedev, called for a return to Stalin-era Siberian gulags and the mass deportation of Ukrainians
Russia has rejected a Vatican request for information on the status of arrested Greek Catholic Church priests Bohdan Geleta and Ivan Levitskyi
Russian forces are looting homes in occupied Avdiivka
Ukraine is opening new border crossings with Hungary and Romania in response to the Polish farmer protests
Russia is withdrawing from the 1956 Fisheries Agreement with the United Kingdom
Polish Foreign Minister Sikorski warned if the U.S. abandons Ukraine or NATO, it could spark a European nuclear arms race
The E.U. announced the 13th package of sanctions against Russia
The United States announced new sanctions against more than 500 individuals and businesses
China’s number one, two, and four banks have stopped accepting payments from sanctioned Russian financial institutions

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