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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 11 FEB 2024 23:59* PST - Avdiivka Holds, But For How Long

Added 2024-02-12 09:17:50 +0000 UTC

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SITREP 599 is 82 pages long and a full report.

What's Happening

Here are the top five stories in today's supersized report.

1. Russian forces make a major advance toward Chasiv Yar.

2. Avdiivka holds, but for how long?

3. Russian troops appear to be using many Starlink Internet terminals despite denials by Elon Musk.

4. Former United States President Donald Trump sent Europe into a tailspin after a campaign speech.

5. The shakeup within the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine continues.

Summary

There are map updates
There are assessment updates
There are rumor updates
The table of Russian versus Ukrainian heavy equipment losses based on information from the Oryx Database has been updated through February 11, 2024
Fighting continued in the Kupyansk AO
A Russian drone strike on Khakriv caused a pipeline to burst, killing seven in their homes
Russian missiles hit Lyubotyn, west of Kharkiv
The Russian VKS attacked Izyum
Light fighting was reported in the Kreminna AO
Fighting continued in the Lysychansk AO
Russian forces advanced to the eastern edge of Bilohorivka [Luhansk]
In occupied Luhansk, a Russian air defense radar and Buk-3 was destroyed
Fighting continued in the Bakhmut AO
Russian forces made a tactical significant advance west of Bohdanivka and are 3 kilometers from Chasiv Yar
Fighting continued in the Klishchiivka AO
Intense fighting continued in the Avdiivka AO, where the situation continued to deteriorate
Ukrainian forces are complaining their secondary defensive lines are inadequate
Russian forces crossed the train tracks south of the Avdiivka Coke Plant and reached the swimming beach on the western edge of the sand quarry
Fighting continued in the Vuhledar AO
Russia built a 30-kilometer-long defensive line from Olenivka to Volnovakha using railroad cars
Light fighting continued in the Staromlynivka AO
Light fighting continued in the Orikhiv AO
Ukrainian rockets struck a Russian base in occupied Tokmak
A Ukrainian collaborator was killed in occupied Berdyansk
Fighting continued in the Kherson AO
Over the weekend, 18 Iranian-sourced Shahed-136 drones attacked the city of Mykolaiv
Odesa and the Danube River ports were attacked by two waves of Shahed-136 UAVs, wounding four
Russian missiles and drones targeted Ukrainian energy infrastructure in Pavlohrad, knocking out powers to tens-of-thousands
Shahed-136 UAVs were shot down in Cherkasy and Zhytomyr
Debris from a Russian drone landed on a commercial enterprise in Kyiv, sparking a fire
Turkish Air Force F-16s stationed in Romania scrambled due to Russian drone strikes along the Danube River
Romania issued an air raid alert to two districts and condemned the drone strikes on Ukraine
Debris from a Shahed-136 UAV was found in Etulia, Moldova, drawing a rebuke and warning from President Maia Sandu
Over the weekend, Russia launched almost 100 Shahed-136 one-way drones into Ukraine, with air defense downing 83%
Ukrainian air defenses have been forced to conserve air defense missiles
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy named multiple new commanders for the Armed Forces as the military leadership shake-up continues
GUR head Kyrylo Budanov was given the title of Hero of Ukraine with Golden Star
The National Police of Ukraine disbanded the special purpose regiment of the GUNP in the Dnipropetrovsk region for insubordination and integrated into the Lyut assault brigade
The Ternopil TCC denied that a mobilized man was killed in combat nine days after reporting to duty
French President Macron canceled a trip to Kyiv indefinitely, citing the “security situation”
January financial aid to Ukraine was down 90% compared to a year ago
France committed to providing Ukraine with 40 SCALP air-to-surface cruise missiles
A Russian Ka-52 helicopter was shot down
A Russian contract soldier from Sierra Leone was captured
A Nepali contract soldier paid a $2,000 bribe to leave the Russian armed forces
Nepal reported that the number of their citizens fighting for Russia in Ukraine could be as high as 15,000 people
Syrians are reportedly being flown to Russia, given immediate citizenship, and then sent directly to Ukraine
Ukrainian soldiers clearing captured Russian positions found IDs from Kyrgyzstan among the dead
21 members of the Russian 155th Naval Infantry, which was once an elite unit, claimed that unit members were shot by blocking troops led by their political officer
The six crew members of the Russian Il-76 shot down on January 24 were given a state funeral
Russia has yet to identify the three guards allegedly on the plane, and they were not given similar honors
North Korea is supplying Russia with 240 mm rockets for the Cheburashka MLRS
Italian arms maker Beretta is dodging sanctions and supplying Russia with ammunition and weapons
Russia and Ukraine reported that Russian troops are using SpaceX Starlink terminals, and it has become systemic
SpaceX CEO Elon Musk denied the claims
Multiple Russian milblogger mocked Musk after denying Russian troops had Starlink terminals
Ukraine released a video of a drone-delivered IED destroying a Russian position equipped with a Starlink terminal
Three Moldovan aircraft companies allegedly sold $15 million in parts to Russia in 2022
Retired Russian General Yuri Baluyevsky said that Russian weapons were ineffective against their Western peers despite a decade of investment
Video showed two Storm Shadow cruise missiles flying over a Russian S-400 battery after they failed to shoot them down
A Russian S-350 air defense system ran over a Russian antitank mine
Russian milblogger Two Majors complained about the lack of effective antidrone electronic warfare systems
Russian commander Alexander Khodakovsky complained that corruption and “monopolists” were harming Russian drone production
Russian propagandist Roman Saponkov also complained about corruption derailing innovation
A Russian soldier field tested a new state-of-the-art antidrone weapon – a water bottle
Moscow summoned the chargés d'affaires from Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia to issue a warning
Norway refused to give former PMC Wagner mercenary Andrey Medvedev political asylum
YouTube blocked 40 Russian state media channels
Crackdowns continued in the Republic of Bashkortostan weeks after area protests in support of imprisoned activist Fail Alsynov
Almost 3,000 residents of Bashkortostan demanded an investigation into the death of Rifat Dautov
Kremlin spokesperson Peskov said that Russia was not planning to ban VPNs on March 1
In 2023, Russia received a record number of complaints about problems with community housing
The State Duma is considering a draft law that punishes citizens who excessively complain about problems with community housing
The Russian cosmetics company Letual is covering up the rainbow hair on its unicorn logo with magic marker
Russian journalist Maria Baronova was fined 70,000 roubles for a one-person protest in Moscow
Russian Colonel Viktor Alksnis made the most direct statement of any Russian official about Moscow’s slide into fascism, but there’s a twist
Human Rights Watch said that President Putin should face additional war crimes charges stemming from the 2022 siege of Mariupol
A 71-year-old Ukrainian died in a Russian pre-trial detention center while waiting for a court hearing on espionage charges
The International Criminal Court denied to hold special tribunals for Russian war crimes
Another 34 Ukrainian soldiers who surrendered in Mariupol were sentenced to decades in a strict regime prison colony by illegitimate Russian courts
Less than a week after the ICC refused to find Russia guilty of committing genocide on Crimean Tatars due to a lack of evidence, Russia declared the Crimean Tatar Resource Center “undesirable”
Activists warned that Russia is eliminating the Crimean Tatar language after banning all classes in 2023
The Parliamentary Assembly of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe was in Kyiv to discuss setting up a special international tribunal for the Russian crimes of aggression
Ukraine’s request to Russia to return the remains of 65 POWs allegedly killed on January 24 when an Il-76 was shot down was, again, denied
Over the last week, three hospitals and one ambulance were attacked by Russian forces, wounding five and forcing the evacuation of 38 patients
Since February 24, 2022, Russian forces have destroyed or damaged more an 500 religious buildings in Ukriane
Five more Ukrainian children were repatriated from the occupied territories
German Chancellor Scholz called out Tucker Carlson for spreading Russian lies about World War II history
The Foreign Minister of Poland warned that with out additional support, Putin can “raze Ukraine to the ground”
Former U.S. President Trump sent shockwaves across Europe, saying he wouldn’t honor Article V and telling Putin he could do whatever he wanted in a hypothetical attack on NATO
The White House and the E.U. condemned Trump’s speech
Estonia said it would continue to build defenses along its border with Russia
The Minister of European and Foreign Affairs of France warned that Russia could attack NATO in the future
The Minister of Defense of the Netherlands called for more financial and military aid for Ukraine, adding that Europe is not immune to “full-scale war”
NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg warned NATO will be preparing for a “hot war” with Russia for decades, and the risk of war is very high
Ex-prime minister candidate from the center-right National Coalition Party Alexander Stubb became the new president of Finland
Finland will keep its border closed with Russia through April 14
Lithuania is closing two more border crossings with Belarus for national security reasons
Putin delayed his February visit to Türkiye allegedly to March, with Turkish media claiming it was delayed until May
Russia reportedly unfroze $9 in North Korean assets and gave them indirect banking access in exchange for weapons
Prime Minister of Hungary Orban said that Russia will never accept Ukraine in the EU or NATO
Polish farmers are aggressively blocking border crossings with Ukraine, dumping grain out of trucks, and building blockades
Ukraine’s sea exports have reached pre-war levels
DNR officials reported it is unprofitable to keep mining coal from the Donbas
India sent its first batch of bananas to Russia after Moscow stopped shipments from five Ecuadorian farms
In January, Russian oil exports plummeted due to Ukrainian attacks, OPEC+ cuts, and tightening sanctions
Russia's businesses are short five million workers, and it is only getting worse

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